Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Hull City beat Everton with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 22 (before the first match) against those on January 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 25.2% | 0.2% | −25.0 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 26.7% | 47.7% | +21.0 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 29.1% | 42.5% | +13.4 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 56.7% | 43.6% | −13.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 80.6% | 92.8% | +12.2 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 26.9% | 38.9% | +12.0 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 18.2% | 30.0% | +11.8 |
| Everton | Europa League | 13.2% | 2.4% | −10.7 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 28.2% | 38.5% | +10.3 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 31.8% | 41.8% | +10.0 |
