Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Portsmouth beat Liverpool with a 21.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 16 (before the first match) against those on February 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 49.8% | 29.1% | −20.7 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 26.1% | 45.6% | +19.4 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 59.8% | 78.9% | +19.0 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 20.5% | 3.2% | −17.3 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 37.9% | 55.2% | +17.3 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 79.6% | 96.4% | +16.8 |
| Fulham | Europa League | 17.6% | 1.8% | −15.8 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 29.0% | 13.2% | −15.8 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 33.5% | 48.0% | +14.5 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 15.0% | 29.3% | +14.3 |
