Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 1 home win, 6 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Wolverhampton beat Tottenham with a 8.5% chance and Aston Villa beat Manchester United with a 19.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 6 (before the first match) against those on December 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 27.7% | 42.8% | +15.1 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 60.8% | 47.7% | −13.0 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 76.0% | 86.1% | +10.1 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 32.8% | 23.6% | −9.2 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 9.5% | 18.1% | +8.6 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 32.7% | 24.1% | −8.6 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 30.0% | 23.3% | −6.8 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 16.1% | 10.5% | −5.6 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 9.4% | 14.5% | +5.1 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 48.3% | 52.5% | +4.2 |
