Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Birmingham City beat Wigan Athletic with a 19.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 29 (before the first match) against those on December 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champion | 69.9% | 56.8% | −13.1 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 66.2% | 54.7% | −11.5 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 19.9% | 30.0% | +10.1 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 70.1% | 60.8% | −9.4 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 32.7% | 42.1% | +9.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 41.0% | 32.7% | −8.2 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 17.4% | 9.9% | −7.6 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 41.5% | 48.3% | +6.8 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 26.4% | 32.5% | +6.2 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 20.6% | 26.7% | +6.1 |
