Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fulham beat Manchester City with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 5 (before the first match) against those on April 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 83.1% | 95.4% | +12.2 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 16.9% | 4.7% | −12.2 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 84.9% | 74.1% | −10.8 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 84.9% | 94.7% | +9.8 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 12.7% | 3.6% | −9.1 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 20.6% | 26.6% | +6.0 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 19.5% | 25.4% | +5.9 |
| Everton | Europa League | 89.8% | 95.7% | +5.9 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 63.4% | 68.3% | +4.9 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 8.5% | 5.1% | −3.4 |
