Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 22 (before the first match) against those on April 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | Relegation | 26.2% | 8.5% | −17.7 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 41.0% | 56.1% | +15.1 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 25.0% | 12.7% | −12.2 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 73.4% | 84.9% | +11.5 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 73.5% | 84.9% | +11.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 71.8% | 83.1% | +11.3 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 28.1% | 16.9% | −11.3 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 16.2% | 5.7% | −10.5 |
| Everton | Europa League | 81.8% | 89.8% | +8.0 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 7.4% | 1.4% | −5.9 |
