Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Tottenham with a 14.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 23 (before the first match) against those on March 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | Europa League | 50.1% | 71.8% | +21.7 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 40.8% | 19.8% | −21.0 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 46.7% | 67.3% | +20.6 |
| Everton | Champions League | 29.7% | 12.5% | −17.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 69.7% | 86.7% | +17.0 |
| Everton | Europa League | 68.1% | 84.8% | +16.7 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 29.6% | 13.3% | −16.3 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 24.7% | 14.5% | −10.3 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 13.1% | 4.5% | −8.6 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 80.2% | 88.4% | +8.2 |
