Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sunderland beat Aston Villa with a 11.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 19 (before the first match) against those on March 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | Relegation | 34.2% | 13.1% | −21.0 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 65.9% | 80.2% | +14.3 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 37.7% | 24.7% | −12.9 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 19.8% | 8.2% | −11.6 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 70.4% | 80.9% | +10.5 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 30.6% | 40.8% | +10.2 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 37.8% | 46.7% | +8.9 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 14.2% | 5.3% | −8.9 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 5.2% | 13.1% | +7.9 |
| Reading | Relegation | 10.3% | 4.1% | −6.2 |
