Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fulham beat Everton with a 20.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 12 (before the first match) against those on March 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Champions League | 51.1% | 31.5% | −19.6 |
| Everton | Europa League | 47.2% | 65.0% | +17.8 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 51.0% | 68.2% | +17.2 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 46.9% | 30.9% | −15.9 |
| Portsmouth | Europa League | 33.7% | 49.5% | +15.9 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 82.0% | 66.2% | −15.8 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 51.9% | 37.5% | −14.4 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 35.6% | 22.5% | −13.1 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 21.0% | 32.1% | +11.0 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 16.2% | 5.5% | −10.7 |
