Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Reading beat Middlesbrough with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 25 (before the first match) against those on March 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 39.9% | 21.8% | −18.2 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 59.6% | 44.7% | −14.9 |
| Reading | Relegation | 32.4% | 19.7% | −12.7 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 36.0% | 48.0% | +12.0 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 70.9% | 82.5% | +11.6 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 11.4% | 20.7% | +9.3 |
| Portsmouth | Europa League | 30.4% | 21.8% | −8.5 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 46.9% | 54.0% | +7.1 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 16.6% | 10.6% | −6.0 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 9.6% | 15.1% | +5.5 |
