Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Blackburn Rovers with a 21.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 12 (before the first match) against those on March 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 46.0% | 99.7% | +53.7 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 31.6% | 82.7% | +51.1 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 50.9% | >99.9% | +49.1 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 7.8% | 55.8% | +48.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 52.4% | 99.7% | +47.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 57.4% | 94.7% | +37.3 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 14.7% | 48.6% | +33.9 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 32.6% | <0.1% | −32.6 |
| Everton | Europa League | 16.6% | 48.7% | +32.1 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 12.9% | 43.8% | +30.9 |
