Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sunderland beat Tottenham with a 20.0% chance and Newcastle beat Bolton Wanderers with a 16.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 10 (before the first match) against those on August 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 26.9% | 15.5% | −11.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 36.9% | 26.2% | −10.7 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 40.5% | 30.1% | −10.4 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 22.7% | 32.6% | +10.0 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 17.9% | 9.8% | −8.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 46.4% | 53.8% | +7.4 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 14.4% | 7.5% | −7.0 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 8.4% | 14.8% | +6.4 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 51.2% | 57.4% | +6.2 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Champions League | 15.5% | 21.5% | +6.1 |
