Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fulham beat Newcastle with a 20.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 28 (before the first match) against those on September 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 49.7% | 36.2% | −13.4 |
| Everton | Champions League | 25.1% | 37.8% | +12.7 |
| Reading | Relegation | 40.4% | 31.9% | −8.5 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 22.4% | 15.9% | −6.6 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 23.4% | 29.6% | +6.2 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 12.4% | 6.3% | −6.0 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 37.3% | 43.1% | +5.8 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 20.4% | 25.5% | +5.1 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 14.2% | 9.4% | −4.8 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 67.9% | 72.4% | +4.5 |
