Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Tottenham with a 18.7% chance, Manchester City beat Arsenal with a 23.7% chance, and Portsmouth beat Middlesbrough with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 23 (before the first match) against those on August 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Champions League | 34.1% | 22.4% | −11.7 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 56.5% | 67.9% | +11.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 30.4% | 19.5% | −10.9 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 15.2% | 26.0% | +10.8 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 29.6% | 19.6% | −10.0 |
| Everton | Champions League | 15.3% | 25.1% | +9.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 36.6% | 27.7% | −8.9 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 29.0% | 20.4% | −8.5 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 18.2% | 9.7% | −8.4 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 19.3% | 11.9% | −7.4 |
