Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat West Ham with a 23.6% chance and Arsenal beat Manchester United with a 18.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 11 (before the first match) against those on September 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champion | 43.1% | 30.2% | −13.0 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 23.9% | 33.9% | +10.0 |
| Reading | Relegation | 31.9% | 22.3% | −9.6 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 15.9% | 24.9% | +9.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 24.9% | 33.1% | +8.3 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 83.6% | 75.4% | −8.2 |
| Portsmouth | Champions League | 15.5% | 22.4% | +7.0 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 16.5% | 9.7% | −6.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 36.2% | 29.4% | −6.8 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 29.6% | 36.2% | +6.5 |
