Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Manchester City beat Newcastle with a 18.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 18 (before the first match) against those on April 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 65.8% | 51.0% | −14.8 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 25.1% | 38.9% | +13.8 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 41.1% | 54.1% | +13.0 |
| Reading | Europa League | 22.7% | 13.9% | −8.8 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 56.0% | 64.5% | +8.5 |
| Everton | Europa League | 56.7% | 51.1% | −5.6 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 4.2% | 8.1% | +3.9 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 5.0% | 1.6% | −3.4 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 6.7% | 3.6% | −3.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 95.4% | 98.5% | +3.1 |
