Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Arsenal with a 10.7% chance, Aston Villa beat Blackburn Rovers with a 19.7% chance, and Portsmouth beat Manchester United with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 2 (before the first match) against those on April 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | Europa League | 54.1% | 38.1% | −16.0 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 92.8% | 79.9% | −12.8 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 38.9% | 51.1% | +12.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 95.0% | 85.4% | −9.5 |
| Reading | Europa League | 13.9% | 4.7% | −9.2 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 4.9% | 14.0% | +9.1 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 93.9% | 84.9% | −9.0 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 6.1% | 15.1% | +9.0 |
| Everton | Europa League | 51.1% | 59.5% | +8.4 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 3.8% | 11.6% | +7.7 |
