Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Manchester City beat Middlesbrough with a 19.5% chance and West Ham beat Blackburn Rovers with a 15.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 14 (before the first match) against those on March 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Europa League | 40.2% | 56.7% | +16.5 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 11.5% | 25.1% | +13.7 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 77.3% | 65.8% | −11.4 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 17.1% | 6.7% | −10.4 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 31.3% | 41.1% | +9.9 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 10.6% | 5.0% | −5.6 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 61.3% | 56.0% | −5.3 |
| Reading | Europa League | 27.6% | 22.7% | −4.9 |
