Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 1 home win, 4 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackburn Rovers beat Bolton Wanderers with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 25 (before the first match) against those on March 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | Europa League | 17.6% | 31.7% | +14.1 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 7.0% | 16.4% | +9.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 89.2% | 95.7% | +6.5 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 11.7% | 5.4% | −6.3 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 10.1% | 4.1% | −6.0 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 65.8% | 60.0% | −5.8 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 8.3% | 2.5% | −5.7 |
| Portsmouth | Europa League | 15.5% | 10.5% | −5.0 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 74.9% | 78.2% | +3.3 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 14.9% | 11.7% | −3.2 |
