Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Middlesbrough beat Chelsea with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 20 (before the first match) against those on December 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champion | 22.8% | 77.2% | +54.3 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 21.7% | 61.3% | +39.5 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 2.4% | 38.9% | +36.5 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 63.8% | 99.9% | +36.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 68.1% | 98.0% | +29.8 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 31.9% | 2.5% | −29.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 35.5% | 63.9% | +28.4 |
| Reading | Relegation | 30.4% | 3.2% | −27.1 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 26.4% | <0.1% | −26.4 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 26.3% | 2.0% | −24.3 |
