Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Charlton Athletic beat Portsmouth with a 13.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 14 (before the first match) against those on January 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 30.9% | 17.3% | −13.5 |
| Everton | Europa League | 17.0% | 28.9% | +11.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 71.9% | 83.0% | +11.1 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 85.9% | 75.5% | −10.4 |
| Portsmouth | Europa League | 39.2% | 29.0% | −10.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 82.5% | 91.1% | +8.6 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 32.8% | 41.3% | +8.5 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 23.7% | 15.2% | −8.5 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 8.4% | 16.4% | +8.1 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 14.9% | 22.1% | +7.1 |
