Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Tottenham beat Everton with a 24.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 23 (before the first match) against those on April 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Europa League | 31.0% | 77.5% | +46.5 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 56.4% | 89.7% | +33.2 |
| Portsmouth | Europa League | 30.1% | 6.3% | −23.8 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 56.9% | 74.9% | +18.0 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 17.1% | 0.5% | −16.6 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 43.2% | 27.0% | −16.3 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 83.6% | 99.1% | +15.6 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 23.1% | 7.9% | −15.2 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 18.8% | 33.9% | +15.1 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 15.0% | 0.9% | −14.1 |
