Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Tottenham with a 23.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 2 (before the first match) against those on January 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 59.0% | 71.9% | +12.9 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 42.2% | 30.9% | −11.3 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 40.2% | 51.2% | +10.9 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 78.4% | 85.9% | +7.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 75.4% | 82.5% | +7.1 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 11.2% | 4.2% | −7.1 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 30.7% | 23.7% | −6.9 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 4.6% | 10.6% | +5.9 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 23.2% | 17.6% | −5.6 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 19.6% | 15.3% | −4.4 |
