Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 2 draws and no away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Portsmouth beat Blackburn Rovers with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 18 (before the first match) against those on August 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 33.6% | 18.4% | −15.2 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 36.0% | 23.3% | −12.7 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Champions League | 31.1% | 18.6% | −12.5 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 52.2% | 63.8% | +11.6 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 57.3% | 68.1% | +10.8 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 22.1% | 32.2% | +10.1 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 21.8% | 31.7% | +9.8 |
| Reading | Relegation | 39.7% | 30.4% | −9.3 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 18.9% | 26.2% | +7.4 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 14.7% | 21.7% | +7.1 |
