Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Bromwich Albion beat Tottenham with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 26 (before the first match) against those on May 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 5.4% | 100% | +94.6 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 60.5% | 0% | −60.5 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 48.4% | 100% | +51.6 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 55.6% | 100% | +44.4 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 37.4% | 77.1% | +39.8 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 38.6% | 0% | −38.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 42.2% | 77.1% | +34.9 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 34.6% | 0% | −34.6 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 75.3% | 100% | +24.7 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 19.1% | 0% | −19.1 |
