Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackburn Rovers beat Middlesbrough with a 18.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 18 (before the first match) against those on December 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 45.0% | 34.6% | −10.5 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 13.5% | 5.5% | −8.0 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 35.1% | 42.2% | +7.2 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 42.1% | 48.4% | +6.3 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 12.3% | 6.2% | −6.1 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 32.6% | 38.6% | +6.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 69.4% | 75.3% | +5.9 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 50.0% | 55.6% | +5.6 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 8.0% | 3.1% | −4.8 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 23.9% | 19.1% | −4.8 |
