Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Middlesbrough beat Fulham with a 18.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 22 (before the first match) against those on December 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champion | 22.4% | 67.8% | +45.4 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 40.1% | 83.9% | +43.7 |
| Everton | Champions League | 2.6% | 44.7% | +42.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 65.0% | 99.0% | +34.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 40.8% | 72.6% | +31.8 |
| Everton | Relegation | 28.7% | <0.1% | −28.7 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 11.1% | 36.7% | +25.6 |
| Fulham | Champions League | 24.8% | 0.3% | −24.5 |
| Everton | Europa League | 3.5% | 27.2% | +23.7 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 36.0% | 12.7% | −23.3 |
