Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Tottenham beat Newcastle with a 13.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 15 (before the first match) against those on August 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Relegation | 42.4% | 28.7% | −13.7 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 49.0% | 61.2% | +12.1 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 34.5% | 23.4% | −11.1 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 34.0% | 23.2% | −10.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 68.3% | 77.0% | +8.7 |
| Fulham | Champions League | 17.3% | 24.8% | +7.5 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 58.2% | 65.0% | +6.8 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 27.2% | 33.4% | +6.2 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 17.0% | 11.3% | −5.7 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 16.4% | 11.1% | −5.3 |
