Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Manchester City beat Bolton Wanderers with a 19.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 14 (before the first match) against those on December 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | Champions League | 26.1% | 35.0% | +8.9 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 22.8% | 16.1% | −6.7 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 17.0% | 10.6% | −6.3 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 12.7% | 6.7% | −6.0 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 36.7% | 42.1% | +5.4 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 29.8% | 35.0% | +5.3 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 7.8% | 2.8% | −5.0 |
| Everton | Champions League | 44.7% | 40.2% | −4.5 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 7.7% | 3.3% | −4.4 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 7.4% | 11.3% | +4.0 |
