Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Tottenham beat Manchester City with a 24.3% chance and Birmingham City beat Aston Villa with a 17.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 6 (before the first match) against those on December 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Champions League | 31.2% | 44.5% | +13.3 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 59.8% | 48.8% | −11.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 38.0% | 30.7% | −7.2 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 19.1% | 12.4% | −6.8 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 77.0% | 83.7% | +6.7 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 20.7% | 16.1% | −4.5 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 51.7% | 56.0% | +4.3 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 12.3% | 8.1% | −4.2 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 10.6% | 14.3% | +3.7 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 10.0% | 6.6% | −3.3 |
