Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Bolton Wanderers beat Chelsea with a 10.4% chance and Southampton beat Liverpool with a 20.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 7 (before the first match) against those on December 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champion | 32.5% | 19.9% | −12.7 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 22.8% | 34.1% | +11.3 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 17.5% | 27.9% | +10.4 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 62.0% | 52.7% | −9.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 30.3% | 21.0% | −9.3 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 29.9% | 38.6% | +8.7 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 33.3% | 41.6% | +8.3 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 36.9% | 29.9% | −7.0 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 16.0% | 9.4% | −6.6 |
| Fulham | Champions League | 23.1% | 17.2% | −5.9 |
