Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Leicester City beat Manchester City with a 9.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 3 (before the first match) against those on November 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | Relegation | 51.6% | 34.6% | −17.0 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 51.9% | 63.9% | +12.0 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 20.2% | 31.7% | +11.4 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 31.0% | 19.9% | −11.1 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 25.4% | 16.6% | −8.8 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 81.0% | 89.7% | +8.7 |
| Charlton Athletic | Champions League | 11.2% | 19.2% | +8.0 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 16.6% | 23.2% | +6.6 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 85.5% | 92.1% | +6.5 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 21.3% | 27.4% | +6.2 |
