Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Manchester City beat Southampton with a 24.4% chance, Bolton Wanderers beat Tottenham with a 15.8% chance, and Charlton Athletic beat Birmingham City with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 26 (before the first match) against those on November 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | Relegation | 64.8% | 51.6% | −13.1 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 42.7% | 30.5% | −12.2 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 41.4% | 51.9% | +10.5 |
| Southampton | Champions League | 22.4% | 12.5% | −9.9 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 21.4% | 31.0% | +9.6 |
| Birmingham City | Champions League | 23.8% | 14.6% | −9.2 |
| Fulham | Champions League | 23.2% | 15.4% | −7.8 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 18.2% | 25.4% | +7.3 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 22.3% | 15.3% | −7.0 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 37.9% | 44.7% | +6.7 |
