Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Manchester City beat Liverpool with a 13.8% chance and Leeds United beat Arsenal with a 13.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 27 (before the first match) against those on May 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champion | 72.8% | 100% | +27.2 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 27.2% | 0% | −27.2 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 55.7% | 75.2% | +19.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 44.3% | 24.8% | −19.5 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 11.2% | 0% | −11.2 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 88.8% | 100% | +11.2 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 16.6% | 27.3% | +10.7 |
| Everton | Europa League | 70.3% | 80.0% | +9.7 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 29.8% | 20.0% | −9.7 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 66.9% | 75.2% | +8.3 |
