Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Manchester City with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 22 (before the first match) against those on April 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champion | 57.9% | 27.2% | −30.7 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 42.1% | 72.8% | +30.7 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 83.3% | 66.9% | −16.5 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 16.7% | 33.1% | +16.5 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 91.1% | 78.4% | −12.7 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 77.9% | 88.8% | +11.0 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 22.1% | 11.2% | −11.0 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 7.4% | 16.6% | +9.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 38.7% | 44.3% | +5.6 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 61.3% | 55.7% | −5.6 |
