Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Birmingham City beat Aston Villa with a 13.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 24 (before the first match) against those on March 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 38.6% | 55.0% | +16.4 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 58.5% | 43.6% | −14.9 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 31.9% | 22.2% | −9.7 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 15.3% | 6.2% | −9.0 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 71.5% | 64.2% | −7.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 11.3% | 17.4% | +6.1 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 28.6% | 22.6% | −5.9 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 41.0% | 46.8% | +5.8 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 8.7% | 14.4% | +5.7 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 23.2% | 28.0% | +4.8 |
