Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackburn Rovers beat Chelsea with a 17.0% chance and Birmingham City beat Liverpool with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 19 (before the first match) against those on February 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 27.9% | 15.3% | −12.7 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 79.0% | 91.6% | +12.6 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 17.0% | 28.6% | +11.6 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 81.3% | 92.2% | +10.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 21.4% | 11.3% | −10.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 81.4% | 71.5% | −9.9 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 68.2% | 58.5% | −9.7 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 17.0% | 7.4% | −9.6 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 75.7% | 84.6% | +8.9 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 86.3% | 94.4% | +8.1 |
