Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Manchester City beat Fulham with a 24.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 26 (before the first match) against those on December 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Champions League | 41.8% | 50.9% | +9.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 63.2% | 72.0% | +8.8 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 24.8% | 16.7% | −8.2 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 85.5% | 78.3% | −7.2 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 19.7% | 14.0% | −5.7 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 10.5% | 15.5% | +5.0 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 6.9% | 11.8% | +4.9 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 11.0% | 6.2% | −4.8 |
| Middlesbrough | Champions League | 10.6% | 5.9% | −4.6 |
| Everton | Champions League | 19.4% | 15.0% | −4.4 |
