Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bolton Wanderers beat Newcastle with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 23 (before the first match) against those on December 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champion | 47.1% | 59.9% | +12.8 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 63.1% | 50.6% | −12.5 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 52.1% | 62.1% | +10.0 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 49.5% | 41.8% | −7.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 69.8% | 63.2% | −6.6 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 73.2% | 78.9% | +5.8 |
| Middlesbrough | Champions League | 5.2% | 10.6% | +5.4 |
| Middlesbrough | Europa League | 12.5% | 17.8% | +5.4 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 9.0% | 4.3% | −4.8 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 11.5% | 6.9% | −4.6 |
