Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Bradford City beat Derby County with a 14.0% chance and Everton beat Liverpool with a 21.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 19 (before the first match) against those on September 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford City | Relegation | 54.6% | 42.7% | −11.9 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 42.8% | 52.8% | +9.9 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 36.5% | 26.8% | −9.8 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 24.9% | 16.1% | −8.8 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 27.7% | 19.3% | −8.4 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Relegation | 69.4% | 76.2% | +6.9 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 43.5% | 36.9% | −6.6 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 13.8% | 19.9% | +6.2 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 37.5% | 43.3% | +5.8 |
| Leicester City | Europa League | 8.5% | 13.6% | +5.1 |
