Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sunderland beat Derby County with a 19.7% chance and Watford beat Chelsea with a 18.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 12 (before the first match) against those on September 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Relegation | 54.3% | 37.5% | −16.7 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Relegation | 57.2% | 69.4% | +12.2 |
| Watford | Relegation | 47.5% | 36.0% | −11.6 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 53.8% | 42.8% | −11.0 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 47.5% | 36.5% | −10.9 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 25.7% | 35.4% | +9.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 29.4% | 38.6% | +9.2 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 21.8% | 27.7% | +5.9 |
| Bradford City | Relegation | 48.8% | 54.6% | +5.8 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 4.3% | 10.1% | +5.7 |
