Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Middlesbrough beat West Ham with a 21.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 24 (before the first match) against those on April 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford City | Relegation | 75.7% | 45.0% | −30.7 |
| Wimbledon | Relegation | 29.8% | 55.9% | +26.1 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 77.4% | 97.8% | +20.4 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 14.9% | 1.6% | −13.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 95.9% | 83.7% | −12.2 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 4.1% | 16.3% | +12.3 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 14.4% | 22.1% | +7.7 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 7.4% | 0.3% | −7.2 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 83.5% | 77.9% | −5.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 88.6% | 93.8% | +5.2 |
