Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sheffield Wednesday beat Wimbledon with a 24.1% chance and Bradford City beat Sunderland with a 14.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 12 (before the first match) against those on May 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 29.7% | 99.1% | +69.4 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 53.4% | 0.9% | −52.5 |
| Wimbledon | Relegation | 8.5% | 55.3% | +46.8 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 54.1% | 98.2% | +44.1 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 9.0% | 51.5% | +42.5 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 90.6% | 48.5% | −42.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 29.4% | 0.5% | −28.9 |
| Bradford City | Relegation | 64.0% | 45.6% | −18.4 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 82.6% | 100% | +17.4 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 15.4% | 0% | −15.4 |
