Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Derby County beat Leicester City with a 18.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 6 (before the first match) against those on December 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | Champions League | 65.1% | 77.8% | +12.8 |
| Bradford City | Relegation | 52.5% | 39.9% | −12.7 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 35.5% | 25.5% | −10.0 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 66.2% | 57.1% | −9.1 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 19.6% | 10.6% | −9.0 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 28.7% | 36.5% | +7.8 |
| Watford | Relegation | 81.2% | 88.8% | +7.6 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 21.6% | 28.9% | +7.4 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 12.8% | 5.7% | −7.1 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 14.7% | 21.3% | +6.6 |
