Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Aston Villa with a 20.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 28 (before the first match) against those on December 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 24.9% | 12.8% | −12.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 55.8% | 66.2% | +10.5 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 17.2% | 7.9% | −9.3 |
| Wimbledon | Relegation | 17.2% | 8.4% | −8.9 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 16.7% | 9.2% | −7.5 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 57.7% | 65.1% | +7.4 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 28.9% | 35.5% | +6.6 |
| Sunderland | Champions League | 17.0% | 23.5% | +6.4 |
| Sunderland | Europa League | 22.0% | 28.3% | +6.3 |
| Watford | Relegation | 75.7% | 81.2% | +5.5 |
