Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Charlton Athletic beat West Ham with a 16.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 31 (before the first match) against those on May 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | Europa League | 30.5% | 100% | +69.5 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 53.5% | 0% | −53.5 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 55.2% | 100% | +44.8 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 14.1% | 53.9% | +39.9 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 16.8% | 51.2% | +34.4 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 32.2% | 64.1% | +31.9 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 31.5% | 0% | −31.5 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 31.7% | 4.5% | −27.3 |
| Everton | Relegation | 27.2% | 0.4% | −26.8 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 28.2% | 2.2% | −26.0 |
