Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, no draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Queens Park Rangers beat Leeds United with a 17.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 12 (before the first match) against those on September 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 28.4% | 19.4% | −9.0 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 18.7% | 10.2% | −8.5 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 24.9% | 16.7% | −8.3 |
| Leeds United | Champion | 13.4% | 5.2% | −8.2 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 13.4% | 5.2% | −8.2 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 55.7% | 63.3% | +7.6 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 13.7% | 6.7% | −7.1 |
| Wimbledon | Europa League | 16.6% | 9.9% | −6.7 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 60.6% | 67.3% | +6.7 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 23.4% | 30.1% | +6.7 |
