Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sheffield Wednesday beat Queens Park Rangers with a 20.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 30 (before the first match) against those on September 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | Relegation | 25.2% | 35.6% | +10.4 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Relegation | 18.2% | 8.7% | −9.5 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 16.8% | 25.6% | +8.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 16.8% | 25.6% | +8.8 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 52.8% | 60.1% | +7.3 |
| Chelsea | Relegation | 16.2% | 8.9% | −7.3 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 10.5% | 17.7% | +7.1 |
| Newcastle | Champion | 27.7% | 22.1% | −5.5 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 27.7% | 22.1% | −5.5 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 17.1% | 12.3% | −4.9 |
