Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Chelsea with a 21.0% chance, Bolton Wanderers beat Middlesbrough with a 14.2% chance, and Queens Park Rangers beat Sheffield Wednesday with a 22.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 12 (before the first match) against those on May 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champion | 6.7% | 84.7% | +78.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 6.7% | 84.7% | +78.0 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 9.8% | 84.7% | +74.9 |
| Newcastle | Champion | 90.0% | 15.3% | −74.7 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 90.0% | 15.3% | −74.7 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 79.5% | 15.3% | −64.2 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 70.6% | 100% | +29.5 |
| Wimbledon | Relegation | 23.6% | <0.1% | −23.6 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 23.3% | 0% | −23.2 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 82.4% | 100% | +17.6 |
