Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Arsenal beat Nottingham with a 22.2% chance and West Ham beat Tottenham with a 17.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 4 (before the first match) against those on April 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Champion | 88.6% | 24.3% | −64.3 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 88.6% | 24.3% | −64.3 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 10.8% | 74.5% | +63.7 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 7.4% | 69.1% | +61.7 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 7.4% | 69.1% | +61.7 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 71.9% | 30.8% | −41.1 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 12.4% | 40.9% | +28.6 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 60.2% | 87.5% | +27.4 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 49.7% | 68.9% | +19.2 |
| Wimbledon | Relegation | 18.4% | 2.6% | −15.8 |
